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oNY Times 最新一篇专栏文章,值得好好思考。 [ 同人于野 ] 于:2008-01-03 14:52:42
In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm

A year ago, British meteorologists made headlines predicting that the buildup of greenhouse gases would help make 2007 the hottest year on record. At year’s end, even though the British scientists reported the global temperature average was not a new record — it was actually lower than any year since 2001 — the BBC confidently proclaimed, “2007 Data Confirms Warming Trend.”


When the Arctic sea ice last year hit the lowest level ever recorded by satellites, it was big news and heralded as a sign that the whole planet was warming. When the Antarctic sea ice last year reached the highest level ever recorded by satellites, it was pretty much ignored. A large part of Antarctica has been cooling recently, but most coverage of that continent has focused on one small part that has warmed.


Roger A. Pielke Jr., a professor of environmental studies at the University of Colorado, recently noted the very different reception received last year by two conflicting papers on the link between hurricanes and global warming. He counted 79 news articles about a paper in the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, and only 3 news articles about one in a far more prestigious journal, Nature.

Guess which paper jibed with the theory — and image of Katrina — presented by Al Gore’s “Inconvenient Truth”?

It was, of course, the paper in the more obscure journal, which suggested that global warming is creating more hurricanes. The paper in Nature concluded that global warming has a minimal effect on hurricanes. It was published in December — by coincidence, the same week that Mr. Gore received his Nobel Peace Prize.




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※※※ 相关(回复)帖 ※※※
O 【原创】全球变暖是一场骗局? (同人于野;字4086 阅7884 花27
O ... (283号出口;字0 阅198
。。O 确实比较全面的介绍 (小愚;字193 阅109
O 关于这个片子的硬伤 (小愚;字345 阅279
O NY Times 最新一篇专栏文章,值得好好思考。(同人于野;字1849 阅689 花1 O
。。O 从感情上讲,真希望BBC是对的 (爱自由;字0 阅199
O 学术界还在争 (闲来有事;字14 阅379
O 戈尔那个表格的确有问题 (v22;字115 阅564
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